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HoldenKarnofsky

Karma: 6,896

Why We Can’t Take Ex­pected Value Es­ti­mates Liter­ally (Even When They’re Un­bi­ased)

HoldenKarnofsky18 Aug 2011 23:34 UTC
123 points
253 comments17 min readLW link

Max­i­miz­ing Cost-effec­tive­ness via Crit­i­cal Inquiry

HoldenKarnofsky10 Nov 2011 19:25 UTC
31 points
24 comments7 min readLW link

Thoughts on the Sin­gu­lar­ity In­sti­tute (SI)

HoldenKarnofsky11 May 2012 4:31 UTC
329 points
1,274 comments29 min readLW link

All Pos­si­ble Views About Hu­man­ity’s Fu­ture Are Wild

HoldenKarnofsky3 Sep 2021 20:19 UTC
146 points
37 comments8 min readLW link1 review

The Most Im­por­tant Cen­tury: Se­quence Introduction

HoldenKarnofsky3 Sep 2021 20:19 UTC
69 points
5 comments4 min readLW link1 review

The Du­pli­ca­tor: In­stant Clon­ing Would Make the World Econ­omy Explode

HoldenKarnofsky8 Sep 2021 0:06 UTC
61 points
39 comments7 min readLW link

Digi­tal Peo­ple Would Be An Even Big­ger Deal

HoldenKarnofsky13 Sep 2021 15:23 UTC
34 points
14 comments13 min readLW link

Digi­tal Peo­ple FAQ

HoldenKarnofsky13 Sep 2021 15:24 UTC
28 points
13 comments16 min readLW link

This Can’t Go On

HoldenKarnofsky18 Sep 2021 23:50 UTC
72 points
55 comments7 min readLW link2 reviews

Fore­cast­ing Trans­for­ma­tive AI, Part 1: What Kind of AI?

HoldenKarnofsky24 Sep 2021 0:46 UTC
17 points
17 comments9 min readLW link

Re­ply to Eliezer on Biolog­i­cal Anchors

HoldenKarnofsky23 Dec 2021 16:15 UTC
150 points
46 comments15 min readLW link

“Mo­ral progress” vs. the sim­ple pas­sage of time

HoldenKarnofsky9 Feb 2022 2:50 UTC
33 points
30 comments3 min readLW link
(www.cold-takes.com)

To Match the Greats, Don’t Fol­low In Their Footsteps

HoldenKarnofsky11 Feb 2022 19:20 UTC
47 points
5 comments4 min readLW link
(www.cold-takes.com)

Defend­ing One-Di­men­sional Ethics

HoldenKarnofsky15 Feb 2022 17:20 UTC
16 points
9 comments17 min readLW link
(www.cold-takes.com)

Misc the­matic links

HoldenKarnofsky18 Feb 2022 22:00 UTC
12 points
0 comments5 min readLW link
(www.cold-takes.com)

Learn­ing By Writing

HoldenKarnofsky22 Feb 2022 15:50 UTC
132 points
12 comments10 min readLW link3 reviews
(www.cold-takes.com)

The Wicked Prob­lem Experience

HoldenKarnofsky2 Mar 2022 17:50 UTC
124 points
6 comments9 min readLW link1 review
(www.cold-takes.com)

Pro­gram­ming note

HoldenKarnofsky9 Mar 2022 21:20 UTC
8 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.cold-takes.com)

Cold Takes reader sur­vey—let me know what you want more and less of!

HoldenKarnofsky18 Mar 2022 19:20 UTC
17 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(www.cold-takes.com)

De­bat­ing my­self on whether “ex­tra lives lived” are as good as “deaths pre­vented”

HoldenKarnofsky29 Mar 2022 18:30 UTC
34 points
9 comments15 min readLW link
(www.cold-takes.com)