The article’s main idea is(can be?) that in all possible scenarios, the best one for Humanity is the loss of Putin’s Empire.
It is hard to understand it without comparing it to the outcomes of all other scenarios. Because in each scenario after the start of a full-scale invasion, all scenarios are massive devastation for Humanity—we can choose only less devastation among all.
Can you please provide analysis where Ukraine side losses are 200k people and Russia side are 400k people?