Karma: 3,205

Correlation does imply some sort of causal link.

For guessing its direction, simple models help you think.

Controlled experiments, if they are well beyond the brink

Of .05 significance will make your unknowns shrink.

Replications prove there’s something new under the sun.

Did one cause the other? Did the other cause the one?

Are they both controlled by something already begun?

Or was it their coincidence that caused it to be done?

Seek­ing sug­ges­tions for EA cash-prize contest

AllAmericanBreakfast29 May 2019 20:44 UTC
14 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

Archive of all LW es­say contests

AllAmericanBreakfast30 May 2019 6:40 UTC
12 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Here Be Epistemic Dragons

AllAmericanBreakfast4 Jul 2019 22:31 UTC
8 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

The Re­sults of My First LessWrong-in­spired I Ching Divination

AllAmericanBreakfast8 Jul 2019 21:26 UTC
21 points
3 comments6 min readLW link

The I Ching Series (2/​10): How should I pri­ori­tize my ca­reer-build­ing pro­jects?

AllAmericanBreakfast9 Jul 2019 22:55 UTC
14 points
6 comments3 min readLW link

AI Align­ment “Scaf­fold­ing” Pro­ject Ideas (Re­quest for Ad­vice)

AllAmericanBreakfast11 Jul 2019 4:39 UTC
9 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

Raw Post: Talk­ing With My Brother

AllAmericanBreakfast13 Jul 2019 2:57 UTC
23 points
6 comments5 min readLW link