Karma: 3,205

Correlation does imply some sort of causal link.

For guessing its direction, simple models help you think.

Controlled experiments, if they are well beyond the brink

Of .05 significance will make your unknowns shrink.

Replications prove there’s something new under the sun.

Did one cause the other? Did the other cause the one?

Are they both controlled by something already begun?

Or was it their coincidence that caused it to be done?

Us­ing Flash­cards for De­liber­ate Practice

AllAmericanBreakfast12 Apr 2021 19:07 UTC
16 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

Cu­ri­ous In­quiry and Ri­gor­ous Training

AllAmericanBreakfast6 Apr 2021 22:38 UTC
19 points
2 comments5 min readLW link

Gold­fish Reading

AllAmericanBreakfast31 Mar 2021 1:04 UTC
19 points
7 comments12 min readLW link

Pro­gres­sive High­light­ing: Pick­ing What To Make Into Flashcards

AllAmericanBreakfast29 Mar 2021 22:57 UTC
48 points
4 comments3 min readLW link

Mak­ing a Cheer­ful Bid

AllAmericanBreakfast27 Mar 2021 19:37 UTC
10 points
9 comments2 min readLW link

Trust sta­tus sigmoidally

AllAmericanBreakfast20 Mar 2021 19:50 UTC
14 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

Product orientation

AllAmericanBreakfast18 Mar 2021 0:41 UTC
14 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

Wild Reading

AllAmericanBreakfast15 Mar 2021 21:34 UTC
9 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

De-con­fus­ing my­self about Pas­cal’s Mug­ging and New­comb’s Problem

AllAmericanBreakfast9 Mar 2021 20:45 UTC
7 points
1 comment3 min readLW link

Check OK, bab­ble-read, op­ti­mize (how I read text­books)

AllAmericanBreakfast6 Mar 2021 3:17 UTC
15 points
3 comments5 min readLW link

The Com­pre­hen­sion Curve

AllAmericanBreakfast22 Feb 2021 22:51 UTC
28 points
9 comments10 min readLW link

[Question] Could first doses first be bet­ter for the vac­cine hes­i­tant?

AllAmericanBreakfast22 Feb 2021 16:24 UTC
7 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

Prin­ci­ples of Agile Rationalism

AllAmericanBreakfast21 Feb 2021 1:47 UTC
12 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

How Should We Re­spond to Cade Metz?

AllAmericanBreakfast13 Feb 2021 16:11 UTC
18 points
28 comments1 min readLW link

Net­work­ing and Ex­pert Con­sult­ing As Ra­tion­al­ity Bottlenecks

AllAmericanBreakfast5 Feb 2021 5:41 UTC
27 points
2 comments7 min readLW link

Self-Crit­i­cism Can Be Wrong And Harmful

AllAmericanBreakfast1 Feb 2021 1:07 UTC
12 points
3 comments3 min readLW link

Build Your Num­ber Sense

AllAmericanBreakfast27 Jan 2021 21:01 UTC
21 points
4 comments4 min readLW link

Define Your Learn­ing Goal: Com­pe­tence Or Broad Knowledge

AllAmericanBreakfast25 Jan 2021 20:47 UTC
32 points
6 comments4 min readLW link

The Multi-Tower Study Strategy

AllAmericanBreakfast21 Jan 2021 8:42 UTC
45 points
8 comments8 min readLW link

For Bet­ter Com­ment­ing, Avoid PONDS

AllAmericanBreakfast20 Jan 2021 1:11 UTC
60 points
16 comments2 min readLW link