I would describe Metaculus as a “play-money” prediction market. Why don’t you think it’s a prediction market? Players/users are rewarded with points (e.g. ‘play-money’) for making good/better predictions. What’s missing?
What’s missing is the ability to sell my shares of “yes” or “no” to other users. A market requires having the ability to exchange commodities. I think it’s probably better to describe Metaculus as a prediction aggregator with an incentive system.
What’s missing is the ability to sell my shares of “yes” or “no” to other users. A market requires having the ability to exchange commodities. I think it’s probably better to describe Metaculus as a prediction aggregator with an incentive system.
Ahhh – fantastic point. I don’t think I’ve ever seen a site like that then.