I don’t think that “users active on the site on Petrov day”, nor “users who visited the homepage on Petrov day” are good metrics; someone who didn’t want to press the button would have no reason to visit the site, and they might have not done so either naturally (because they don’t check LW daily) or artificially (because they didn’t want to be tempted or didn’t want to engage with the exercise.) I expect there are a lot of users who simply don’t care about Petrov day, and I think they should still be included in the set of “people who chose not to press the button”.
What about “users who viewed the Petrov day announcement article or visited the homepage”? That should more accurately capture the set of users who were aware of their ability to nuke the homepage and chose not to do so. (It still misses anyone who found out via social media, Manifold, etc., but there’s not much you can do about that.)
I don’t think that “users active on the site on Petrov day”, nor “users who visited the homepage on Petrov day” are good metrics; someone who didn’t want to press the button would have no reason to visit the site, and they might have not done so either naturally (because they don’t check LW daily) or artificially (because they didn’t want to be tempted or didn’t want to engage with the exercise.) I expect there are a lot of users who simply don’t care about Petrov day, and I think they should still be included in the set of “people who chose not to press the button”.
What about “users who viewed the Petrov day announcement article or visited the homepage”? That should more accurately capture the set of users who were aware of their ability to nuke the homepage and chose not to do so. (It still misses anyone who found out via social media, Manifold, etc., but there’s not much you can do about that.)