That sounds like hindsight bias. If there were 16 trans men and 3 trans women, you’d be saying ‘”In a group where most people currently identify as men, why is it the case that most trans people currently identify as men?” doesn’t even seem like a question.’
I can attest that this reasoning occurred to me knowing only that there were 1.3% trans women; my prediction was ‘based on my experience with trans people, this probably reflects upbringing-assigned gender, so I expect to see fewer trans men’.
That sounds like hindsight bias. If there were 16 trans men and 3 trans women, you’d be saying ‘”In a group where most people currently identify as men, why is it the case that most trans people currently identify as men?” doesn’t even seem like a question.’
I can attest that this reasoning occurred to me knowing only that there were 1.3% trans women; my prediction was ‘based on my experience with trans people, this probably reflects upbringing-assigned gender, so I expect to see fewer trans men’.