Rephrase goal X as “I honestly believe that I will achieve X”, and then carry on thinking until you actually have a reasonably solid case for believing that.
As a rationalist, you can frame that as “I prefer to reward future versions of me that have achieved this by having correctly predicted their behavior. ”
As a rationalist, you can frame that as “I prefer to reward future versions of me that have achieved this by having correctly predicted their behavior. ”