The former inequality seems almost certain, but I’m not sure that that the latter inequality holds even over the long term. It probably does hold conditional on long-term non-extinction of humanity, since P(ABI) probably gets very close to 1 even if P(IABIED) is high and remains high.
The former inequality seems almost certain, but I’m not sure that that the latter inequality holds even over the long term. It probably does hold conditional on long-term non-extinction of humanity, since P(ABI) probably gets very close to 1 even if P(IABIED) is high and remains high.