Wow, that’s very cool! This is actually the closest existing thing to Arbital I’ve heard about. I guess to Eliezer’s point, it does sound like they built this system in one go, without doing much of MVP-kind of iteration. But also… damn! From the sound of it, there are a lot of complicated components, and a lot of manual work that went into the whole thing. If those are the minimum requirements to build something like that, then I’m not sure we ever had a chance.
But the good news is: if this really works, then I think Arbital is totally doable and would be just the online version of this. The remaining difficult part would be monetization, but in retrospect it’s quite possible Arbital should have been a non-profit.
Military contracting is too controlled by far to allow for this kind of thing, unless it is being paid for out of a black budget; we have a hard time learning about those for the obvious reasons.
Wow, that’s very cool! This is actually the closest existing thing to Arbital I’ve heard about. I guess to Eliezer’s point, it does sound like they built this system in one go, without doing much of MVP-kind of iteration. But also… damn! From the sound of it, there are a lot of complicated components, and a lot of manual work that went into the whole thing. If those are the minimum requirements to build something like that, then I’m not sure we ever had a chance.
But the good news is: if this really works, then I think Arbital is totally doable and would be just the online version of this. The remaining difficult part would be monetization, but in retrospect it’s quite possible Arbital should have been a non-profit.
Military contracting is too controlled by far to allow for this kind of thing, unless it is being paid for out of a black budget; we have a hard time learning about those for the obvious reasons.