0.2 (I recall reading that white is the most common color, and I do see a bunch).
0.2 (p(10 year old Ford)=~0.001) (p(dent on rear right|10 year old Ford)=~0.01) =~ 2e-6, or 1 in 500,000.
Average person averages one 10-mile trip per day and gets into an accident once every 10-20 years. ~1 in 5000.
2⁄3, heavily dependent on definition of building
0.2
Average 1 typo per 10 books, 100k words/book, so 1 in a million.
Probability that I’ll perceive it, 10^-20. Probability of it actually happening, around 10^-(10^100)
Seems like several standard deviations above average, maybe 1 in 1,000.
Not divisible by 2 or 3, if I had written this post I’d flip a coin to decide whether to use a prime or plausible imposter, so 0.5.
Re #7, its past use as a discussion tool makes it more likely that people will create/simulate such situations as a joke in the future. The probability of “actually happening” thus seems far too low.
6.Average 1 typo per 10 books, 100k words/book, so 1 in a million.
You have a very high opinion of proof readers :-)
0.2 (I recall reading that white is the most common color, and I do see a bunch).
0.2 (p(10 year old Ford)=~0.001) (p(dent on rear right|10 year old Ford)=~0.01) =~ 2e-6, or 1 in 500,000.
Average person averages one 10-mile trip per day and gets into an accident once every 10-20 years. ~1 in 5000.
2⁄3, heavily dependent on definition of building
0.2
Average 1 typo per 10 books, 100k words/book, so 1 in a million.
Probability that I’ll perceive it, 10^-20. Probability of it actually happening, around 10^-(10^100)
Seems like several standard deviations above average, maybe 1 in 1,000.
Not divisible by 2 or 3, if I had written this post I’d flip a coin to decide whether to use a prime or plausible imposter, so 0.5.
Re #7, its past use as a discussion tool makes it more likely that people will create/simulate such situations as a joke in the future. The probability of “actually happening” thus seems far too low.
You have a very high opinion of proof readers :-)