“I believe that the probability of an unfavorable outcome—by which I mean an outcome essentially equivalent to what a UFAI would bring about—exceeds 90% in such a scenario.”
It’s nice that this appreciates that the problem is hard.
The “scenario” in question involves a SIAI AGI—so maybe he just thinks that this organisation is incompetent.
The “scenario” in question involves a SIAI AGI—so maybe he just thinks that this organisation is incompetent.