Why are some so often convinced that the victory of China in the AGI race will lead to the end of humanity?
I don’t think a Chinese world order will result in the end of humanity, but I do think it will make stuff like this much more common. I am interested in creating a future I would actually want to live in.
The most prominent experts give a 50% chance of AI in 2099
How much would you be willing to bet that AI will not exist in 2060, and at what odds?
but I think that the probability of an existential disaster in this world will become less.
Are you arguing that a victory for Chinese totalitarianism makes Human extinction less likely than a liberal world order?
I’m not sure that I can trust news sources that are interested in outlining China. In any case, this does not seem to stop the Chinese people from feeling happier than the US people. I cited this date just to contrast with your forecast. My intuition is more likely to point to AI in the 2050-2060 years. And yes, I expect that in 2050 it will be possible to monitor the behavior of each person in countries 24⁄7. I can’t say that it makes me happy, but I think that the vast majority will put up with this. I don’t believe in a liberal democratic utopia, but the end of the world seems unlikely to me.
And yes, I expect that in 2050 it will be possible to monitor the behavior of each person in countries 24⁄7. I can’t say that it makes me happy, but I think that the vast majority will put up with this. I don’t believe in a liberal democratic utopia, but the end of the world seems unlikely to me.
Call me a crazy optimist, but I think we can aim higher than: Yes, you will be monitored 24⁄7, but at least humanity won’t literally go extinct.
I don’t think a Chinese world order will result in the end of humanity, but I do think it will make stuff like this much more common. I am interested in creating a future I would actually want to live in.
How much would you be willing to bet that AI will not exist in 2060, and at what odds?
Are you arguing that a victory for Chinese totalitarianism makes Human extinction less likely than a liberal world order?
I’m not sure that I can trust news sources that are interested in outlining China.
In any case, this does not seem to stop the Chinese people from feeling happier than the US people.
I cited this date just to contrast with your forecast. My intuition is more likely to point to AI in the 2050-2060 years.
And yes, I expect that in 2050 it will be possible to monitor the behavior of each person in countries 24⁄7. I can’t say that it makes me happy, but I think that the vast majority will put up with this. I don’t believe in a liberal democratic utopia, but the end of the world seems unlikely to me.
Lots of happy people in China.
Call me a crazy optimist, but I think we can aim higher than: Yes, you will be monitored 24⁄7, but at least humanity won’t literally go extinct.
I meant the results of such polls: https://www.thatsmags.com/china/post/15129/happy-planet-index-china-is-72nd-happiest-country-in-the-world. Well, it doesn’t matter.
I think that I could sleep better if everyone recognized the reduction of existential risks in a less free world.