I’m not sure why this was crossed out—seems quite civil to me… And I appreciate your thoughts on this!
I do think we agree at the big-picture level, but have some mismatch in details and language. In particular, as I understand J. Pearl’s counter-factual analysis, you’re supposed to compare this one perturbation against the average over the ensemble of all possible other interventions. So in this sense, it’s not about “holding everything else fixed,” but rather about “what are all the possible other things that could have happened.”
I believe that would be an interventional analysis, in Pearl’s terms, not a counterfactual analysis.
I’m not sure why this was crossed out—seems quite civil to me...
I noticed this was only your fourth LW post, and you have the sort of knowledge and mindset which seems likely to yield very interesting posts in the future, so I didn’t want to leave a comment which might discourage writing more posts. I’m glad it didn’t come across too harsh. :)
cool—and I appreciate that you think my posts are promising! I’m never sure if my posts have any meaningful ‘delta’ - seems like everything’s been said before.
But this community is really fun to post for, with meaningful engagement and discussion =)
I’m not sure why this was crossed out—seems quite civil to me… And I appreciate your thoughts on this!
I do think we agree at the big-picture level, but have some mismatch in details and language. In particular, as I understand J. Pearl’s counter-factual analysis, you’re supposed to compare this one perturbation against the average over the ensemble of all possible other interventions. So in this sense, it’s not about “holding everything else fixed,” but rather about “what are all the possible other things that could have happened.”
I believe that would be an interventional analysis, in Pearl’s terms, not a counterfactual analysis.
I noticed this was only your fourth LW post, and you have the sort of knowledge and mindset which seems likely to yield very interesting posts in the future, so I didn’t want to leave a comment which might discourage writing more posts. I’m glad it didn’t come across too harsh. :)
cool—and I appreciate that you think my posts are promising! I’m never sure if my posts have any meaningful ‘delta’ - seems like everything’s been said before.
But this community is really fun to post for, with meaningful engagement and discussion =)