In my personal Fermi Estimates, I multiplied the cost from death by about 2.5 to account for secondary long-term effects, mostly because the number of young people being hospitalized and needing major medical attention is in the 10% range (i.e. 50x higher than the default death rate), and a significant fraction of those are hooked up to mechanical ventilators, and my medical intuition says that if you are hooked up to a mechanical ventilator enough stuff has gone wrong that you will probably walk away with some long-term effects.
How dangerous is that assumption? What multiple of the impact from death is the impact from disability? How different a decision would that imply?
In my personal Fermi Estimates, I multiplied the cost from death by about 2.5 to account for secondary long-term effects, mostly because the number of young people being hospitalized and needing major medical attention is in the 10% range (i.e. 50x higher than the default death rate), and a significant fraction of those are hooked up to mechanical ventilators, and my medical intuition says that if you are hooked up to a mechanical ventilator enough stuff has gone wrong that you will probably walk away with some long-term effects.