Off the cuff: it’s probably a random walk.
Edit: It’s now pretty clear to me that’s false, but plotting the ergodic means of several “chains” seems like a good way to figure it out.
Edit 2: In retrospect, I should have predicted that. If anyone is interested, I can post some R code so you can see what happens.
Off the cuff: it’s probably a random walk.
Edit: It’s now pretty clear to me that’s false, but plotting the ergodic means of several “chains” seems like a good way to figure it out.
Edit 2: In retrospect, I should have predicted that. If anyone is interested, I can post some R code so you can see what happens.