I expect that already-overwhelmed regions such as New York City and Italy will stay in level 3 till at least the end of May, and possibly till July or August.
I expect that being currently overwhelmed has little effect on what restrictions will make sense this summer.
I expect transitions to level 2 to depend mostly on the availability of tests. So I see New York going to level 2 by mid-May. More New Yorkers will soon have immunity than in most other places, so it might actually be one of the safer places by May.
I expect that being currently overwhelmed has little effect on what restrictions will make sense this summer.
I expect transitions to level 2 to depend mostly on the availability of tests. So I see New York going to level 2 by mid-May. More New Yorkers will soon have immunity than in most other places, so it might actually be one of the safer places by May.