the same line of reasoning is experienced by many other minds and we should reason as if we have causal power over all these minds.
Luckily, the world we live in is not the least convenient possible one: The relevant mind-similarity is not the planning around hoarding food, it is planning based on UDT-type concerns. E.g., you should reason as if you have causal power over all minds that think “I’ll use a mixed strategy, and hoard food IFF my RNG comes up below .05.” (substituting whatever fraction would not cause a significant market disruption).
Since these minds comprise an insignificant portion of consumers, UDT shrugs and says “go ahead and hoard, I guess.”
That may be true, but it is not a product of the general public not knowing UDT. A large number of people don’t think or act in a CDT way either, and a lot of people that don’t care for decision theory follow the categorical imperative.
Luckily, the world we live in is not the least convenient possible one: The relevant mind-similarity is not the planning around hoarding food, it is planning based on UDT-type concerns. E.g., you should reason as if you have causal power over all minds that think “I’ll use a mixed strategy, and hoard food IFF my RNG comes up below .05.” (substituting whatever fraction would not cause a significant market disruption).
Since these minds comprise an insignificant portion of consumers, UDT shrugs and says “go ahead and hoard, I guess.”
That may be true, but it is not a product of the general public not knowing UDT. A large number of people don’t think or act in a CDT way either, and a lot of people that don’t care for decision theory follow the categorical imperative.