If you’re interested in making a follow-up post, I’d enjoy an analysis of the possibilities when the coin is not fair but is also not double sided. For example, if a coin has a 75% chance of turning up heads, how does the probability look?
I wrote this! The graphs of P(bias|flips) are fun. See this post starting at “computing a credible interval”:
I wrote this! The graphs of
P(bias|flips)
are fun. See this post starting at “computing a credible interval”:https://justinpombrio.net/2021/02/19/confidence-intervals.html
Sorry if you’re viewing on mobile, I need to fix my styling.