This seems an overly simplistic view. You need to specify your source of knowledge about correlation of quality of predictions and decision theory prediction target uses.
And even then, you need to be sure that your using an exotic DT will not throw Omega too much off the trail (note that erring in your case will not ruin the nice track record).
I don’t say it is impossible to specify, just that your description could be improved.
Sure, it would also be nice to know that your wearing blue shoes will not throw off Omega. In the absence of any such information (we can stipulate if need be) the analysis is correct.
This seems an overly simplistic view. You need to specify your source of knowledge about correlation of quality of predictions and decision theory prediction target uses.
And even then, you need to be sure that your using an exotic DT will not throw Omega too much off the trail (note that erring in your case will not ruin the nice track record).
I don’t say it is impossible to specify, just that your description could be improved.
Sure, it would also be nice to know that your wearing blue shoes will not throw off Omega. In the absence of any such information (we can stipulate if need be) the analysis is correct.