Oh, I remembered we have this: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/suGfBx5pcjCn6DT5A/how-did-my-baby-die-and-what-is-the-probability-that-my-next#XmC8SwC8h6kKKwMBF . If I remember anything else, I shall add it here.
Oh, I remembered we have this: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/suGfBx5pcjCn6DT5A/how-did-my-baby-die-and-what-is-the-probability-that-my-next#XmC8SwC8h6kKKwMBF . If I remember anything else, I shall add it here.