It would be quite suspicious if “global warming is real” and “global warming is not real” were two equally credible positions.
Both are quite simplistic positions. If you look at the IPCC report there are many different claims about global warming effects and those have different probabilities attached to them.
It’s possible to be wrong on some of those probabilities in both directions, but thinking about probabilities is a different mode than “On what side do you happen to be?”
Incidentally, the first comment in this thread to talk in terms of discrete “sides” was not mine above but one of jimmy’s well upthread, and I think most of the ensuing discussion in those terms is a descendant of that. I wonder why you chose my comment in particular to object to.
I don’t know about you, but I don’t have the impression that my comments in this thread are too short.
Yes, the climate is complicated. Yes, there is a lot more to say than “global warming is happening” or “global warming is not happening”. However, it is often convenient to group positions into two main categories: those that say that the climate is warming substantially and human activity is responsible for a lot of that warming, and those that say otherwise.
Both are quite simplistic positions. If you look at the IPCC report there are many different claims about global warming effects and those have different probabilities attached to them.
It’s possible to be wrong on some of those probabilities in both directions, but thinking about probabilities is a different mode than “On what side do you happen to be?”
Incidentally, the first comment in this thread to talk in terms of discrete “sides” was not mine above but one of jimmy’s well upthread, and I think most of the ensuing discussion in those terms is a descendant of that. I wonder why you chose my comment in particular to object to.
I don’t know about you, but I don’t have the impression that my comments in this thread are too short.
Yes, the climate is complicated. Yes, there is a lot more to say than “global warming is happening” or “global warming is not happening”. However, it is often convenient to group positions into two main categories: those that say that the climate is warming substantially and human activity is responsible for a lot of that warming, and those that say otherwise.