Sure, but why would those changes tend to favor Trump as you get outside of a small neighborhood? Like, why would Biden / (Biden or Trump win) < .5? I agree it would at least approach .5 as the neighborhood grows. I think.
I think we’re in agreement here. I didn’t mean to imply that Trump would become more likely than Biden in absolute terms, just that the ratio Trump/Biden would increase.
Sure, but why would those changes tend to favor Trump as you get outside of a small neighborhood? Like, why would Biden / (Biden or Trump win) < .5? I agree it would at least approach .5 as the neighborhood grows. I think.
I think we’re in agreement here. I didn’t mean to imply that Trump would become more likely than Biden in absolute terms, just that the ratio Trump/Biden would increase.