The presumption with conspiracies is that they are engaged in for some local benefit by the conspiracy at the detriment of the broader society. Hence, the “unilateralist’s curse” is a blessing in this case, as the overestimation by one member of a conspiracy of their own utility in having the secret exposed, brings their estimation more in line with the estimation of the broader society, whose interests differ from those of the conspirators.
If differences between the interests of different groups were not a problem, then there would be no motive to form a conspiracy.
In general, I am quite annoyed at the idea of the unilateralist’s curse being used as a general argument against the revelation of the truth, without careful checking of the correspondence between the decision theoretic model of the unilateralist’s curse and the actual situation, which includes crime and conflict.
The presumption with conspiracies is that they are engaged in for some local benefit by the conspiracy at the detriment of the broader society. Hence, the “unilateralist’s curse” is a blessing in this case, as the overestimation by one member of a conspiracy of their own utility in having the secret exposed, brings their estimation more in line with the estimation of the broader society, whose interests differ from those of the conspirators.
If differences between the interests of different groups were not a problem, then there would be no motive to form a conspiracy.
In general, I am quite annoyed at the idea of the unilateralist’s curse being used as a general argument against the revelation of the truth, without careful checking of the correspondence between the decision theoretic model of the unilateralist’s curse and the actual situation, which includes crime and conflict.