I’m curious, do you find this argument for paying in Logical Counterfactual Mugging persuasive? What about the Counterfactual Prisoner’s Dilemma argument for the basic Counterfactual Mugging?
Another approach is to change the example to remove the objection
Interesting point about the poker game version. It’s still a one shot game, so there’s no real reason to hide a 0 unless you think they’re a pretty powerful predictor, but it is always predicting something coherent.
I don’t see how you’re applying CPD to LU
The claim is that you should pay in the Logical Counterfactual Prisoner’s Dilemma and hence pay in Logical Counterfactual Mugging which is the logically uncertain version of Counterfactual Mugging.
Symmetric? The original is already symmetric. But “symmetric” is a concept which applies to multi-player games. Counterfactual PD makes PD into a one-player game. Presumably you meant “a one-player version”?
Edited now. I meant it’s a symmetric version of counterfactual mugging. So not in the game theory sense, but just that there is now no difference between heads and tails.
This is only true if you use classical CDT, yeah? Whereas EDT can get $9900 in both cases, provided it believes in a sufficient correlation between what it does upon seeing heads vs tails.
Point noted. Maybe I should have been more careful about specifying what I was comparing
I’m curious, do you find this argument for paying in Logical Counterfactual Mugging persuasive? What about the Counterfactual Prisoner’s Dilemma argument for the basic Counterfactual Mugging?
Interesting point about the poker game version. It’s still a one shot game, so there’s no real reason to hide a 0 unless you think they’re a pretty powerful predictor, but it is always predicting something coherent.
The claim is that you should pay in the Logical Counterfactual Prisoner’s Dilemma and hence pay in Logical Counterfactual Mugging which is the logically uncertain version of Counterfactual Mugging.
Edited now. I meant it’s a symmetric version of counterfactual mugging. So not in the game theory sense, but just that there is now no difference between heads and tails.
Point noted. Maybe I should have been more careful about specifying what I was comparing
Accident. It’s fixed now