sure I agree that keeping your system predictions for you makes more sense and tweeting doesn’t necessarily help. Maybe what I’m pointing at is where the text you’re tweeting is not necessarily “predictions” but maybe some “manipulation text” to maximize profit short term. Let’s say you tweet “buy dogecoin” like Elon Musk, so the price goes higher and you can sell all of your doge when you predicted the price would drop. I’m not really sure how such planning would work, and exactly what to feed to some NLP model to manipulate the market in such a way… but now it seems we could just make a simple RL agent (without GPT) that can do either: - 1. move money in his portfolio - 2. tweet “price of X will rise” or “price of Y will go down”.
but yes you’re right that’s pretty close to just “fund managers’ predictions”, and that would impact less than say Elon Musk tweeting (where there’s common knowledge that his tweets change the stock/crypto prices quickly)
sure I agree that keeping your system predictions for you makes more sense and tweeting doesn’t necessarily help. Maybe what I’m pointing at is where the text you’re tweeting is not necessarily “predictions” but maybe some “manipulation text” to maximize profit short term. Let’s say you tweet “buy dogecoin” like Elon Musk, so the price goes higher and you can sell all of your doge when you predicted the price would drop. I’m not really sure how such planning would work, and exactly what to feed to some NLP model to manipulate the market in such a way… but now it seems we could just make a simple RL agent (without GPT) that can do either:
- 1. move money in his portfolio
- 2. tweet “price of X will rise” or “price of Y will go down”.
but yes you’re right that’s pretty close to just “fund managers’ predictions”, and that would impact less than say Elon Musk tweeting (where there’s common knowledge that his tweets change the stock/crypto prices quickly)