The intersection of people with the skills to succeed at (and get away with) such a murder, the skills to predict whether it will lead to their preferred financial or political outcome, and the psycopathy to think that it’s worth it, is vanishingly rare.
All of these things are easy to underestimate:
Those who are at risk of such, are generally aware of it. They take layered precautions that you may or may not be aware of.
It’s not as easy to get away with it as you seem to think. For an impactful result, technology and data science be used to find the perpetrator. And they’ll work backwards from the result, too—unusual trades in the stock, or political groups that benefit, will be very heavily scrutinized.
Reactions will be COMPLICATED. The stock may rise rather than fall, if it concentrates attention in such a way as to support the company, or if they have the succession narrative ready to go about how it makes them stronger.
There are near-universal social norms against it. Even if you don’t get caught by the authorities, you still have to hide it from your acquaintances.
There are near-universal individual installments of those social norms. Most people can’t or won’t seriously pursue this in the first place.
Most people with the resources to profitably pull this off _ALSO_ benefit greatly from the norms that protect them. Violating those norms weakens them and makes the profiteer more of a future target.
The intersection of people with the skills to succeed at (and get away with) such a murder, the skills to predict whether it will lead to their preferred financial or political outcome, and the psycopathy to think that it’s worth it, is vanishingly rare.
All of these things are easy to underestimate:
Those who are at risk of such, are generally aware of it. They take layered precautions that you may or may not be aware of.
It’s not as easy to get away with it as you seem to think. For an impactful result, technology and data science be used to find the perpetrator. And they’ll work backwards from the result, too—unusual trades in the stock, or political groups that benefit, will be very heavily scrutinized.
Reactions will be COMPLICATED. The stock may rise rather than fall, if it concentrates attention in such a way as to support the company, or if they have the succession narrative ready to go about how it makes them stronger.
There are near-universal social norms against it. Even if you don’t get caught by the authorities, you still have to hide it from your acquaintances.
There are near-universal individual installments of those social norms. Most people can’t or won’t seriously pursue this in the first place.
Most people with the resources to profitably pull this off _ALSO_ benefit greatly from the norms that protect them. Violating those norms weakens them and makes the profiteer more of a future target.