It is certainly possible but what kind of scenario are you thinking about?
For moving west of Ukraine the conflicts will have to involve EU or NATO countries, almost certainly both. So that would mean either an open Russia-NATO war or the total breakdown of both NATO and EU. Both scenarios would have huge consequences for the world as a whole, nearly as much as a war between China and US and allies.
I don’t imagine a big open war between Russia and whoever else, more like a series of ethnic conflicts which would quietly spring up. This scenario is convenient for most players.
...but this is probably just depression speaking, Europe does seem better put together now that I think of it.
For moving west of Ukraine the conflicts will have to involve EU or NATO countries, almost certainly both. So that would mean either an open Russia-NATO war or the total breakdown of both NATO and EU.
No, Serbia is in Europe and West of Ukraine. The last war in that area didn’t cause a breakdown of NATO or the EU and a new one wouldn’t need to result in that either.
No but all neighbors are, except Kosovo (and Bosnia that is on the track for NATO access). A new Serbia-Kosovo war (or Serbia-someone else) is in principle possible and as you say would not imply NATO breakdown. But US and EU have currently a strong grip on the region, the last war sent the message that they were willing to maintain it with force, and I think they have and will continue to have strong interest in no new war developing. And no country in the area should be suicidal enough to go against them. So I think the probability of open war there is very low, unless EU or NATO breakdown has already happened or is happening at the same time.
There will still be wars in Europe. I think conflicts will move west of Ukraine, if Ukraine still exists by that point.
It is certainly possible but what kind of scenario are you thinking about?
For moving west of Ukraine the conflicts will have to involve EU or NATO countries, almost certainly both. So that would mean either an open Russia-NATO war or the total breakdown of both NATO and EU. Both scenarios would have huge consequences for the world as a whole, nearly as much as a war between China and US and allies.
I don’t imagine a big open war between Russia and whoever else, more like a series of ethnic conflicts which would quietly spring up. This scenario is convenient for most players.
...but this is probably just depression speaking, Europe does seem better put together now that I think of it.
No, Serbia is in Europe and West of Ukraine. The last war in that area didn’t cause a breakdown of NATO or the EU and a new one wouldn’t need to result in that either.
No but all neighbors are, except Kosovo (and Bosnia that is on the track for NATO access). A new Serbia-Kosovo war (or Serbia-someone else) is in principle possible and as you say would not imply NATO breakdown. But US and EU have currently a strong grip on the region, the last war sent the message that they were willing to maintain it with force, and I think they have and will continue to have strong interest in no new war developing. And no country in the area should be suicidal enough to go against them. So I think the probability of open war there is very low, unless EU or NATO breakdown has already happened or is happening at the same time.
Another scenario would be NATO kicking out Turkey and some Greek/Turkish war.
Is there any provision that allows members to be kicked out of NATO?