First, my argument is not: we had limited time to do this, therefore it’s fine for us to not include whatever factors we want.
My argument is: we had limited time despite putting lots of work into this, because it’s a very ambitiously scoped endeavor. Adding uncertainty to the percent of progress that is software wouldn’t have changed the qualitative takeaways, therefore it’s not ideal but okay for us to present the model without that uncertainty (shifting the median estimate a lower number my have have, I’ll separately reply to your comment on that; we should clearly distinguish these, and your 0th percentile assertions are aimed more at the lack of uncertainty in the model than the median estimate).
That being said, I agree with you that it would be nice and I will likely add uncertainty to our model because it seems like good ROI, I appreciate you pushing me to do this.
First, my argument is not: we had limited time to do this, therefore it’s fine for us to not include whatever factors we want.
My argument is: we had limited time despite putting lots of work into this, because it’s a very ambitiously scoped endeavor. Adding uncertainty to the percent of progress that is software wouldn’t have changed the qualitative takeaways, therefore it’s not ideal but okay for us to present the model without that uncertainty (shifting the median estimate a lower number my have have, I’ll separately reply to your comment on that; we should clearly distinguish these, and your 0th percentile assertions are aimed more at the lack of uncertainty in the model than the median estimate).
That being said, I agree with you that it would be nice and I will likely add uncertainty to our model because it seems like good ROI, I appreciate you pushing me to do this.