If the mathematician has one boy and one girl, then my prior probability for her saying ‘at least one of them is a boy’ is 1⁄2 and my prior probability for her saying ‘at least one of them is a girl’ is 1⁄2
Why isn’t it 3⁄4 for both? Why are these scenarios mutually exclusive?
If the mathematician has one boy and one girl, then my prior probability for her saying ‘at least one of them is a boy’ is 1⁄2 and my prior probability for her saying ‘at least one of them is a girl’ is 1⁄2
Why isn’t it 3⁄4 for both? Why are these scenarios mutually exclusive?