My confidence bounds were 75% and 98% for defect, so my estimate was diametrically opposed to yours. If the admittedly low sample size of these comments is any indication, we were both way off.
I expected most of the LessWrong comunity to cooperate for two reasons:
I model them as altruistic as in Kurros comment.
I model them as oneboxing in newcombs problem.
One consideration I did not factor into my prediction is, that—judging from the comments—many people refuse to cooperate in transfering money form CFAR/Yvain to a random community member.
I expected most of the LessWrong comunity to cooperate for two reasons:
I model them as altruistic as in Kurros comment.
I model them as oneboxing in newcombs problem.
One consideration I did not factor into my prediction is, that—judging from the comments—many people refuse to cooperate in transfering money form CFAR/Yvain to a random community member.