Bad news—there is no definitive answer for AI timelines :(
Some useful timeline resources not mentioned here are Ajeya Cotra’s report and a non-safety ML researcher survey from 2022, to give you an alternate viewpoint.
Bad news—there is no definitive answer for AI timelines :(
Some useful timeline resources not mentioned here are Ajeya Cotra’s report and a non-safety ML researcher survey from 2022, to give you an alternate viewpoint.