“Rational” is a systematic process for arriving at true beliefs (or high-scoring probability distributions), so if you want true beliefs, you’ll think in the ways you think are “rational”. But even in the very best case, you’ll hit on 10% probabilities one time out of ten.
I didn’t see anything wrong with your original comment, though; it’s possible that Ciphergoth is trying to correct a mistake that isn’t there.
“Rational” is a systematic process for arriving at true beliefs (or high-scoring probability distributions), so if you want true beliefs, you’ll think in the ways you think are “rational”. But even in the very best case, you’ll hit on 10% probabilities one time out of ten.
I didn’t see anything wrong with your original comment, though; it’s possible that Ciphergoth is trying to correct a mistake that isn’t there.