Hmmm, McGrayne’s book says that Turing thought the ban was about the smallest change in weight of evidence directly perceptible to human intuition. Maybe Good had a different intuition about the measure, later.
I think a simple mistake is far more likely. A ban corresponds to an odds ratio of 10:1, clearly well within the range of perception.
Hmmm, McGrayne’s book says that Turing thought the ban was about the smallest change in weight of evidence directly perceptible to human intuition. Maybe Good had a different intuition about the measure, later.
I think a simple mistake is far more likely. A ban corresponds to an odds ratio of 10:1, clearly well within the range of perception.