Where do we get sufficient self-confidence to pull probabilities for ill-defined and under-measured quantities out of our butts so we can use them in The Formula?
Is there any actually interesting intellectual task that rests on nice justifiable grounded probabilities?
Where do we get sufficient self-confidence to pull probabilities for ill-defined and under-measured quantities out of our butts so we can use them in The Formula?
Is there any actually interesting intellectual task that rests on nice justifiable grounded probabilities?