Cool. Once you rewrite that, and if you do so before the end of the year, I’d encourage you to resubmit it to this contest.
In particular, the reason I’m excited about this kind of work is because it allows us to have at least some information about how accurate long-term predictions can be. Some previous work on this has been done, e.g., rating Kurzweil’s predictions from the 90s but overall we have very little information about this kind of thing. And yet we are interested in seeing how good we can be at making predictions n years out, and potentially making decisions based on that.
Cool. Once you rewrite that, and if you do so before the end of the year, I’d encourage you to resubmit it to this contest.
In particular, the reason I’m excited about this kind of work is because it allows us to have at least some information about how accurate long-term predictions can be. Some previous work on this has been done, e.g., rating Kurzweil’s predictions from the 90s but overall we have very little information about this kind of thing. And yet we are interested in seeing how good we can be at making predictions n years out, and potentially making decisions based on that.