I’m still skeptical it’ll be anywhere near that easy. India, Japan, Korea, and some other countries are also coming on to the scene and will likely need to be included in any future deal.
Plus even when they’re at the negotiating table, the parties are incentivized to stall as long as possible to cut the best possible deal, because they won’t all be identically worried to the same degree.
And there’s nothing to stop them from walking away at any time. Even the folks in Europe may want to hold out if they feel like they can extract the maximum concessions elsewhere from both U.S. and China.
To some extent, yes, it would need US + Europe (including UK) + China. A strong treaty is necessary for some goals.
I’d guess that the US alone could buy a year.
One Western government doing something often causes other Western governments to do it.
(Edit in response to reply: I don’t think we have important disagreements here, so ending the conversation.)
I’m still skeptical it’ll be anywhere near that easy. India, Japan, Korea, and some other countries are also coming on to the scene and will likely need to be included in any future deal.
Plus even when they’re at the negotiating table, the parties are incentivized to stall as long as possible to cut the best possible deal, because they won’t all be identically worried to the same degree.
And there’s nothing to stop them from walking away at any time. Even the folks in Europe may want to hold out if they feel like they can extract the maximum concessions elsewhere from both U.S. and China.