In Bostrom’s dissertation he says it’s not clear if number of observers or the number of observer-moments is the appropriate reference class for anthropic reasoning.
I don’t see how you are jumping to the fourth disjunct though. Like, maybe they run lots of simulations which are very short? But surely they would run enough to outweigh humanity’s real history whichever way you measure it. Assuming they have posthuman levels of computational power.
In Bostrom’s dissertation he says it’s not clear if number of observers or the number of observer-moments is the appropriate reference class for anthropic reasoning.
I don’t see how you are jumping to the fourth disjunct though. Like, maybe they run lots of simulations which are very short? But surely they would run enough to outweigh humanity’s real history whichever way you measure it. Assuming they have posthuman levels of computational power.