I suspect that the rate of spread is <1 in firstworld countries. I predict that we will see a few people who have travelled abroad catch the virus. If the virus does start spreading out of control, there will be time to stock up when the numbers are in the thousands. (In the UK) I would be more worried if I was in china or south korea.
Infections tend to have exponential growth for a bit, and then stop. Current rates of growth outside china are 10X every 2 weeks. So if you need 2 weeks prep time on your practical advice, decide how much of a prob you are worried about, and divide by 10. Wait to see if the rate gets that high.
I suspect that the rate of spread is <1 in firstworld countries. I predict that we will see a few people who have travelled abroad catch the virus. If the virus does start spreading out of control, there will be time to stock up when the numbers are in the thousands. (In the UK) I would be more worried if I was in china or south korea.
Edit: I no longer believe this
Infections tend to have exponential growth for a bit, and then stop. Current rates of growth outside china are 10X every 2 weeks. So if you need 2 weeks prep time on your practical advice, decide how much of a prob you are worried about, and divide by 10. Wait to see if the rate gets that high.
I no longer stand by this comment.