I very much do not include superrationality in my assumptions. I’m not assuming that all other voters, or even any specific individual other voter, is explicitly using a meta-rational decision theory; I’m simply allowing the possibility that the “expected acausal impact” of my decision is greater than 0 other voters. There are, I believe, a number of ways this could be “true”.
In simpler terms: I think that my beliefs (and definitions) about whether (how many) other voters are “like” me are orders of magnitude different from yours, in a way that is probably not empirically resolvable. I understand that taking your point of view as a given would make my original question relatively trivial, but I hope you understand that it is still an interesting question from my point of view, and that exploring it in that sense might even lead to productive insights that generalize over to your point of view (even though we’d probably still disagree about voting).
If you like, I guess, we could discuss this in a hypothetical world with a substantial number of superrational voters. For you this would merely be a hypothetical, which I think would be interesting for its own sake. For me, this would be a hypothetical special case of acausal links between voters, links which I believe do exist though not in that specific form.
I very much do not include superrationality in my assumptions. I’m not assuming that all other voters, or even any specific individual other voter, is explicitly using a meta-rational decision theory; I’m simply allowing the possibility that the “expected acausal impact” of my decision is greater than 0 other voters. There are, I believe, a number of ways this could be “true”.
In simpler terms: I think that my beliefs (and definitions) about whether (how many) other voters are “like” me are orders of magnitude different from yours, in a way that is probably not empirically resolvable. I understand that taking your point of view as a given would make my original question relatively trivial, but I hope you understand that it is still an interesting question from my point of view, and that exploring it in that sense might even lead to productive insights that generalize over to your point of view (even though we’d probably still disagree about voting).
If you like, I guess, we could discuss this in a hypothetical world with a substantial number of superrational voters. For you this would merely be a hypothetical, which I think would be interesting for its own sake. For me, this would be a hypothetical special case of acausal links between voters, links which I believe do exist though not in that specific form.
Fair enough. That lack of empirical validation is a hallmark of esoteric decision theories, so is some evidence you’re on an interesting track :)