Would it count if a malicious actor successfully finetuned GPT-3 to e.g. incite violence while maintaining plausible deniability?
Yes, that would count. I suspect that many “unskilled workers” would (alone) be better at inciting violence while maintaining plausible deniability than GPT-N at the point in time the leading group had AGI. Unless it’s OpenAI, of course :P
Regarding intentionality, I suppose I didn’t clarify the precise meaning of “better at”, which I did take to imply some degree of intentionality, or else I think “ends up” would have been a better word choice. The impetus for this point was Paul’s concern that someone would have used an AI to kill you to take your money. I think we can probably avoid the difficulty of a rigorous definition intentionality, if we gesture vaguely at “the sort of intentionality required for that to be viable”? But let me know if more precision would be helpful, and I’ll try to figure out exactly what I mean. I certainly don’t think we need to make use of a version of intentionality that requires human-level reasoning.
Yes, that would count. I suspect that many “unskilled workers” would (alone) be better at inciting violence while maintaining plausible deniability than GPT-N at the point in time the leading group had AGI. Unless it’s OpenAI, of course :P
Regarding intentionality, I suppose I didn’t clarify the precise meaning of “better at”, which I did take to imply some degree of intentionality, or else I think “ends up” would have been a better word choice. The impetus for this point was Paul’s concern that someone would have used an AI to kill you to take your money. I think we can probably avoid the difficulty of a rigorous definition intentionality, if we gesture vaguely at “the sort of intentionality required for that to be viable”? But let me know if more precision would be helpful, and I’ll try to figure out exactly what I mean. I certainly don’t think we need to make use of a version of intentionality that requires human-level reasoning.