I’m curious as to what you think “getting weird” might mean. From my perspective, things are already “getting weird”. Three years ago, AI couldn’t generate good art, write college essays, write code, solve Minerva problems, beat players at Starcraft II, or generalise across multiple domains. Now, it can do all of those things. People who work in the field have trouble keeping up. People outside the field are frequently blindsided by things that appear to come out of nowhere, like “Did you know that I can generate artwork from text prompts?” and “Did you know I can use GPT-3 to write a passable essay?” and, just for me a few weeks ago “Holy shit, Github Copilot just answered the question I was going to use as a linear algebra exercise.”
So, my definition of “weird” is something like “It’s hard for professionals in a field to keep up with developments, and non-professionals will be frequently blindsided by seemingly discontinuous jumps” and I think ML has been doing that over the last few years.
I’m curious as to what you think “getting weird” might mean. From my perspective, things are already “getting weird”. Three years ago, AI couldn’t generate good art, write college essays, write code, solve Minerva problems, beat players at Starcraft II, or generalise across multiple domains. Now, it can do all of those things. People who work in the field have trouble keeping up. People outside the field are frequently blindsided by things that appear to come out of nowhere, like “Did you know that I can generate artwork from text prompts?” and “Did you know I can use GPT-3 to write a passable essay?” and, just for me a few weeks ago “Holy shit, Github Copilot just answered the question I was going to use as a linear algebra exercise.”
So, my definition of “weird” is something like “It’s hard for professionals in a field to keep up with developments, and non-professionals will be frequently blindsided by seemingly discontinuous jumps” and I think ML has been doing that over the last few years.
What would you consider “getting weird” to mean?
No I think you misunderstood me: I do agree that things are “getting weird”—I’m just saying that this is to be expected to make the 2040 date.