“suitors severely underestimate probability of being liked back”
Is this supposed to say ‘overestimate’? Regardless, what info from the paper is the claim based on? Since they’re only sampling stories where people were rejected, the stories will have disproportionately large numbers of cases where the suitors are over-optimistic, so that seems like it’d make it hard to draw general conclusions.
(For the other two bullet points: I’d expect those effects, directionally, just from the normal illusion of transparency playing out in a context where there are social barriers to clear communication. But haven’t looked at the paper to see whether the effect is way stronger than I’d normally expect.)
“suitors severely underestimate probability of being liked back”
Is this supposed to say ‘overestimate’? Regardless, what info from the paper is the claim based on? Since they’re only sampling stories where people were rejected, the stories will have disproportionately large numbers of cases where the suitors are over-optimistic, so that seems like it’d make it hard to draw general conclusions.
(For the other two bullet points: I’d expect those effects, directionally, just from the normal illusion of transparency playing out in a context where there are social barriers to clear communication. But haven’t looked at the paper to see whether the effect is way stronger than I’d normally expect.)
Yes, corrected.
I don’t remember (I copied the points from my notes from months ago when I did the research).