Made graphs of stat vs prob of success. Pretty clean linear relationships between each stat and increase in success, except for dexterity. That seems to hurt. Checked for correlations between stats; none detected. Given that we can’t go down in stats, I also looked at the data for students whose stats are at least as high as ours. Did linear regression on that; seems like Dex helps in this case, but there are a lot fewer samples, so I’m going to chuck it up to noise.
Going off all the data, Wis and Cha have the highest slope. (Cha is slightly higher.) So I’d invest evenly in both. Going off the conditioned data, Cha has the highest slope. So I’ll shift to +7 Cha and +3 Wis.
One thing I also thought about is coming up with various hypotheses, Zendo style. E.g. “you win if your Str > Dex” or “you win if the sum of your lowest three stats is > 10″ But I don’t think that’s the nature of the problem.
My research so far:
Made graphs of stat vs prob of success. Pretty clean linear relationships between each stat and increase in success, except for dexterity. That seems to hurt.
Checked for correlations between stats; none detected.
Given that we can’t go down in stats, I also looked at the data for students whose stats are at least as high as ours. Did linear regression on that; seems like Dex helps in this case, but there are a lot fewer samples, so I’m going to chuck it up to noise.
Going off all the data, Wis and Cha have the highest slope. (Cha is slightly higher.) So I’d invest evenly in both. Going off the conditioned data, Cha has the highest slope. So I’ll shift to +7 Cha and +3 Wis.
One thing I also thought about is coming up with various hypotheses, Zendo style. E.g. “you win if your Str > Dex” or “you win if the sum of your lowest three stats is > 10″ But I don’t think that’s the nature of the problem.