I’m sorry it came off that way, I just found it overly similar to the other various Newcomblike problems, and couldn’t see how it was supposed to reveal anything new about optimal decision strategies; paying is the TDT answer and the UDT answer; it’s the choice you’d wish you could have precommitted to if you could have precommitted, it’s the decision-type that will cause you to actually get $1,000,000, etc. If I’m not mistaken, this problem doesn’t address any decision situations not already covered by standard Counterfactual Mugging and Parfit’s Hitchhiker.
(Admittedly, I should have just said all that in the first place.)
I’m sorry it came off that way, I just found it overly similar to the other various Newcomblike problems, and couldn’t see how it was supposed to reveal anything new about optimal decision strategies; paying is the TDT answer and the UDT answer; it’s the choice you’d wish you could have precommitted to if you could have precommitted, it’s the decision-type that will cause you to actually get $1,000,000, etc. If I’m not mistaken, this problem doesn’t address any decision situations not already covered by standard Counterfactual Mugging and Parfit’s Hitchhiker.
(Admittedly, I should have just said all that in the first place.)