The “inapplicable” option for the Robin-versus-Eliezer singularity question should be phrased in stronger terms than “don’t believe in”; someone could easily (say) think that there’s a 5% chance of a technological singularity some time, of which 4% is accounted for by one option and 0.5% by the other (and another 0.5% by all others together). But wouldn’t it be better just to ask for probability estimates for (1) Robin-style singularity, (2) Elizer-style singularity, and (3) any singularity?
For this, and also for the Three Worlds Collide question, there should be at least one URL.
The “inapplicable” option for the Robin-versus-Eliezer singularity question should be phrased in stronger terms than “don’t believe in”; someone could easily (say) think that there’s a 5% chance of a technological singularity some time, of which 4% is accounted for by one option and 0.5% by the other (and another 0.5% by all others together). But wouldn’t it be better just to ask for probability estimates for (1) Robin-style singularity, (2) Elizer-style singularity, and (3) any singularity?
For this, and also for the Three Worlds Collide question, there should be at least one URL.