Rohin wouldn’t have written his coherence theorems piece or any of his value learning sequence, and I’m pretty sure about that because I personally asked him to write that sequence
Yeah, that’s true, though it might have happened at some later point in the future as I got increasingly frustrated by people continuing to cite VNM at me (though probably it would have been a blog post and not a full sequence).
Reading through this comment tree, I feel like there’s a distinction to be made between “LW / AIAF as a platform that aggregates readership and provides better incentives for blogging”, and “the intellectual progress caused by posts on LW / AIAF”. The former seems like a clear and large positive of LW / AIAF, which I think Richard would agree with. For the latter, I tend to agree with Richard, though perhaps not as strongly as he does. Maybe I’d put it as, I only really expect intellectual progress from a few people who work on problems full time who probably would have done similar-ish work if not for LW / AIAF (but likely would not have made it public).
I’d say this mostly for the AI posts. I do read the rationality posts and don’t get a different impression from them, but I also don’t think enough about them to be confident in my opinions there.
Yeah, that’s true, though it might have happened at some later point in the future as I got increasingly frustrated by people continuing to cite VNM at me (though probably it would have been a blog post and not a full sequence).
Reading through this comment tree, I feel like there’s a distinction to be made between “LW / AIAF as a platform that aggregates readership and provides better incentives for blogging”, and “the intellectual progress caused by posts on LW / AIAF”. The former seems like a clear and large positive of LW / AIAF, which I think Richard would agree with. For the latter, I tend to agree with Richard, though perhaps not as strongly as he does. Maybe I’d put it as, I only really expect intellectual progress from a few people who work on problems full time who probably would have done similar-ish work if not for LW / AIAF (but likely would not have made it public).
I’d say this mostly for the AI posts. I do read the rationality posts and don’t get a different impression from them, but I also don’t think enough about them to be confident in my opinions there.