Not all predictions are equal. So I don’t think that the fact that Spock makes a lot of offscreen, untelevised predictions means much; the predictions we see onscreen are not only the most dramatic, they are also the cases where predictions are the most important. As such, we should weight them much higher in analyzing Spock’s competence than his offscreen predictions.
I could predict 365 sunrises and one asteroid impact for the next year, and if I was wrong about the asteroid impact, it would be good reason to call me a bad predictor, even if the other 99.7% of predictions were all correct.
And using a novel as a source for canon is dubious. You can do all the Sherlockian “pretend the novel really happened” you want, but onscreen episodes weren’t written taking that novel into account.
Not all predictions are equal. So I don’t think that the fact that Spock makes a lot of offscreen, untelevised predictions means much; the predictions we see onscreen are not only the most dramatic, they are also the cases where predictions are the most important. As such, we should weight them much higher in analyzing Spock’s competence than his offscreen predictions.
I could predict 365 sunrises and one asteroid impact for the next year, and if I was wrong about the asteroid impact, it would be good reason to call me a bad predictor, even if the other 99.7% of predictions were all correct.
And using a novel as a source for canon is dubious. You can do all the Sherlockian “pretend the novel really happened” you want, but onscreen episodes weren’t written taking that novel into account.