I didn’t write the article, but I think “quick modeling” is referring to the previous post on that blog: simple rationality. It’s an idiosyncratic view, though; I think the “quick modeling” idea works just as well if you think of it as referring to Fermi-estimate style fast modeling instead (which isn’t that different in any case). The point is really just to have any model of the other person’s belief at all (for a broad notion of “model”), and then try to refine that. This is more flexible than the double crux algorithm.
From my experience with CFAR, I suspect CFAR staff would call the strategy described here a form of double crux anyway. The double crux algorithm is an ideal to shoot for, but the broader spirit of double crux is more like what this article is recommending I think.
I didn’t write the article, but I think “quick modeling” is referring to the previous post on that blog: simple rationality. It’s an idiosyncratic view, though; I think the “quick modeling” idea works just as well if you think of it as referring to Fermi-estimate style fast modeling instead (which isn’t that different in any case). The point is really just to have any model of the other person’s belief at all (for a broad notion of “model”), and then try to refine that. This is more flexible than the double crux algorithm.
From my experience with CFAR, I suspect CFAR staff would call the strategy described here a form of double crux anyway. The double crux algorithm is an ideal to shoot for, but the broader spirit of double crux is more like what this article is recommending I think.
Hm, okay. I was unsure where it differed with double crux exactly; thanks for the additional info.