We should have a similar conversation [Question post?] for anticipating the consequences of transformative biotech.
Which biotech in particular?
As far as genetic engineering goes, I was thinking about writing up a post on that myself to the effect of “why you should [or should not] consider having your kids via IVF.
But I haven’t done much research on transformative biohazards like engineered pandemics and am wary of writing such a post.
I was listening to Buterin on the Tim Ferriss podcast this morning, he made an offhand comment that biotech is at a similar point that computers were in the 50s; that left it salient with I read this, but in conversation and from general reading I have a sense that there’s a good chance that a lot of progress is about to be unlocked in the field due to machine learning, much cheaper / higher throughput genetic sequencing and DNA/RNA/protein synthesis and much better DNA editing techniques due to CRISPR.
IBM managed to extract some value from the computer revolution but the real gains where made by countries that were founded later.
Big Pharma companies at the moment seem more disfunctional then IBM back (there’s a reason why DeepMind does protein folding prediction and Pfizer doesn’t), so I would expect a good portion of the profits to be made by new biotech companies.
As far as biotech and Buterin, VitaDAO is currently in formation. Longevity biotech DAO on the blockchain hits a lot of hip keywords.
I would love to hear some longevity-related biotech investment advices from rationalists, which I (and presumably many others here) predict to be the second biggest deal in big picture futurism.
The only investment idea I can come up with myself are for-profit spin-off companies from SENS Research Foundation, but that’s just the obvious option to someone without expertise in the field and trusting the most vocal experts.
Although some growth potential has already been lost due to the pandemic bringing a lot of attention towards this field, I think we’re still early enough to capture some of the returns.
You mean consequences not limited by possible financial gain?